November 29, 2021

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Do Voters Want Democrats Or Republicans In Congress?

Do Voters Want Democrats Or Republicans In Congress?

Do Voters Want Democrats Or Republicans In Congress?

Are Democrats Or Republicans Winning The Race For Congress?

An updating estimate of the generic ballot, based on polls that ask people which party they would support in a congressional election.

DATES POLLSTER GRADE SAMPLE WEIGHT REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT LEADER ADJUSTED LEADER
MAY 27-30 YouGov B 1,266 RV 0.76 33% 39% Democrat +6 Democrat +8
MAY 25-30 Morning Consult 1,991 RV 0.54 39% 43% Democrat +4 Democrat +7
MAY 20-23 YouGov B 1,266 RV 0.65 36% 38% Democrat +2 Democrat +4
MAY 18-22 Morning Consult 1,938 RV 0.40 37% 41% Democrat +4 Democrat +7
MAY 13-16 YouGov B 1,293 RV 0.60 33% 40% Democrat +7 Democrat +9
MAY 12-14 Public Policy Polling B+ 692 RV 1.02 38% 49% Democrat +11 Democrat +11
MAY 12-14 Morning Consult 2,001 RV 0.36 35% 42% Democrat +7 Democrat +10
MAY 9-11 Morning Consult 1,731 RV 0.30 37% 42% Democrat +5 Democrat +8
MAY 6-9 YouGov B 1,278 RV 0.58 35% 40% Democrat +5 Democrat +7
MAY 4-9 Quinnipiac University A- 1,078 RV 1.73 38% 54% Democrat +16 Democrat +13

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KEY

= NEW

A = ALL ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

V = VOTERS

When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

Polls listed here are those that ask either which party’s candidate a respondent would vote for in his or her district or which party the respondent would prefer control Congress.

By Aaron Bycoffe, Dhrumil Mehta and Nate Silver. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.



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